New Jersey Voting Closes - Tiny Fraction Of Votes Counted Plus, Bush Gets Virginia
Yahoo News page
When Jersey was first reported for Kerry, no votes were counted (interesting). Now, 7 of 6285 precincts have reported. Right now, Kerry has 48% (816 votes), while Bush has 51% (866 votes). Because votes are dependant largely on geography, it is probably possible to have 70% Bush and 15% Kerry in California, if you count in the right precints. In other words, these results are far less accurate than polls of around 1500 people.
So, there is a good chance that the nearly-instant call of Jersey for Kerry was a mistake (usually, states are called after a good variety of votes are counted, if not a substantial percent of the votes).
Additionally, Virginia has been called for Bush. 35 percent (826 of 2345 precincts) have been counted, 56% (566,284 votes) for Bush, 43% (440,770 votes) for Kerry. This is an excellent sign for Bush, as Zogby had predicted this to be a tied state, which I cited as an error. It now looks like I was more correct than Zogby for at least one minute factor of this election. I am proud of myself :).
With 1% (88 of 11477 precints) of Ohio counted, Kerry has 54% (96,790 votes), while Bush has 46% (82,262 votes). This one percent shows only that the state will likely be too close to call soon, and hints that the entire state may count votes slowly.
When Jersey was first reported for Kerry, no votes were counted (interesting). Now, 7 of 6285 precincts have reported. Right now, Kerry has 48% (816 votes), while Bush has 51% (866 votes). Because votes are dependant largely on geography, it is probably possible to have 70% Bush and 15% Kerry in California, if you count in the right precints. In other words, these results are far less accurate than polls of around 1500 people.
So, there is a good chance that the nearly-instant call of Jersey for Kerry was a mistake (usually, states are called after a good variety of votes are counted, if not a substantial percent of the votes).
Additionally, Virginia has been called for Bush. 35 percent (826 of 2345 precincts) have been counted, 56% (566,284 votes) for Bush, 43% (440,770 votes) for Kerry. This is an excellent sign for Bush, as Zogby had predicted this to be a tied state, which I cited as an error. It now looks like I was more correct than Zogby for at least one minute factor of this election. I am proud of myself :).
With 1% (88 of 11477 precints) of Ohio counted, Kerry has 54% (96,790 votes), while Bush has 46% (82,262 votes). This one percent shows only that the state will likely be too close to call soon, and hints that the entire state may count votes slowly.
posted by Chris at
8:39 PM
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